Ira, Scarlet Revenger
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.9
Surp
5.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Stanley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Matt Quigley (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Round 12: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Nova Chan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aimran Kamarul Bahrin (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bill Dower (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Henry Leasure (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fahad Rahman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Tang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liang Choong Poh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hans Kristian (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Nick McGrath (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carter Barton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jiahao Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edison Yue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Loss vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
80%
Meta
-2.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bernardo José Alves (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Loss vs Eugene Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Phan Quan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carter Barton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mikael Lundberg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.