Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 4-1-0
20%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nelson Torres (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mathias W (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pang Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Isaac Murray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
dropped 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max Löhe (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Brakowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Dash I/O
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jumpei Nasu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
dropped 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Yau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Arakni, Marionette
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jumpei Nasu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Dash I/O
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
dropped 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Malcolm Song (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.