Pro Tour: Singapore 2025 - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Dexter Phan

dropped • 4-1-0

40%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.4

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nelson Torres (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mathias W (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pang Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Isaac Murray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.29
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.15
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.38

Colin Tang

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Max Löhe (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kevin Brakowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jumpei Nasu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.57
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.98
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.15

Kai Young Tan

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Yau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jumpei Nasu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.54
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.34
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Eugene C

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Malcolm Song (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.