Pro Tour: Singapore 2025 - Vynnset, Iron Maiden (CC)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jose Alves

105th • 3-6-0

22%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joseph Sierra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Guarober (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Allen Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

22% (2/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.37
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.14
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.66
R12	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R13	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R14	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Daniel Cooper

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chang Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.31
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.19
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.62
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Finlay Freir

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.4

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Curtis Roth (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Peh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.15
R2	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.21
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Max de Wilde

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cody Dennhardt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ping How Ng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.31
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.62
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Yassine Echafai Tripiana

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mathias W (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.12
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Braulio Mora

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.1

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Phan Quan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.12
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Loss	✓	0.81	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Hangjune "Shu" Cho

dropped • 1-4-0

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.7

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs augustine shim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

Meta Fit

0% (0/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.65

Mathias W

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.4

Diff

Deck

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.44
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michael Wilfred Luigi Sanicas

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jose Lau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.