Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Pro Tour: Singapore 2025
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
105th • 3-6-0
44%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Sierra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 80:20
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Guarober (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Allen Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chang Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 80:20
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Curtis Roth (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Peh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
Round 4: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cody Dennhardt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
Round 5: Loss vs Ping How Ng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 80:20
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mathias W (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Phan Quan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 80:20
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs augustine shim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Lau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Loss vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.