Kassai of the Golden Sand at Pro Tour: Singapore 2025
Kassai of the Golden Sand
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
28th • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.4
Surp
5.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stephen Brian Lim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs August Rokkanen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Round 12: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 13: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 14: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
71st • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 36:64
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phan Quan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 5: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 12: Loss vs Nova Chan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
112th • 3-5-1
22%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Maher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mathew Fletcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Carl Rivera (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Draw vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Draw |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 83:17
Round 2: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bun Ar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jason Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 83:17
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Madeline Southwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Peng Joon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Peh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Win vs Philippe Cabero (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Martin Holík (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aimran Kamarul Bahrin (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Li (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Jumpei Nasu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.