Pro Tour: Singapore 2025 - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Matthew Dilks

28th • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

4.7

Surp

5.0

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stephen Brian Lim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs August Rokkanen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.26
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.20
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.26
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.84
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Matt Rogers

71st • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.5

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Phan Quan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Nova Chan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.30
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.33
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R13	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.12
R14	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R15	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.29

Vincent Lim

112th • 3-5-1

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

4.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Maher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mathew Fletcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Carl Rivera (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Draw vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.16
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.39
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.78
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Draw	✗	0.44	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Cody Gebert

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.3

Diff

Deck

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bun Ar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jason Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.08
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.47
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74

Keenan Fernandez

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Madeline Southwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.08
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.31
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.67
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Oscar Ojeda Gomez

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Peng Joon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Peh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.15
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.45
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.93
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Teerawish Kotesiri

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.18
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.45
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

August Rokkanen

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Philippe Cabero (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Martin Holík (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.31
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.71
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Jeremy Guarober

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Aimran Kamarul Bahrin (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.34
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.61
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Martin Rodriguez

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Colin Li (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jumpei Nasu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.47
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.