Pro Tour: Singapore 2025 - Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X (CC)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

79 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tom Escoffier

3rd • 9-2-0

91%

Meta

+3.5

Perf

5.7

Surp

6.7

Diff

Deck

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Karel Jay Arado (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joel Guzman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R16 CC

Round 16: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R17 CC

Round 17: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

91% (10/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

6.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.32
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.47
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.18
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.27
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.36
R16	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.45
R17	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Jimmy Nguyen

5th • 6-4-0

80%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

5.3

Surp

4.1

Diff

Deck

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs James Clark (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Spencer Horton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Oscar Vargas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R16 CC

Round 16: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (8/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Loss	✓	0.79	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.36
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.36
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.72
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.20
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.30
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R16	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Liang Choong Poh

80th • 8-1-0

89%

Meta

+3.4

Perf

4.6

Surp

6.2

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 雄斗宮地 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Zimmer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Shing Tsang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.09
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.32
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.46
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.50
R12	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.51

Tommaso Viscido

9th • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

5.6

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Carl Rivera (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jc Kairos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Cooper (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.11
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.23
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.37
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yuki Lee Bender

12th • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.6

Surp

4.6

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Law Wen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.32
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.46
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.53
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.96
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R15	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	2.02

Viet Pham

37th • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

5.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Carl Rivera (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rod Waje (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hafiz Hamidon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alan Jernigan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.46
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.37
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.95
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Florin-Cristian Loghin

47th • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

6.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Colin Li (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

6.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.23
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.37
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.88
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.18

Noah Beygelman

94th • 7-2-0

56%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

4.3

Surp

4.7

Diff

Deck

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Martin Holík (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mark Johnson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Carl Rivera (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.21
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.40
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.54
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R14	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Mark Johnson

101st • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.5

Surp

5.5

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Jiahao Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Carl Rivera (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.46
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.39
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

David Lee

15th • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.6

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rod Waje (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bill Dower (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Allen Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.16
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.21
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	1.03
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Thorbjørn Lind Jensen

21st • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.6

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mark Boothroyd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jose Lau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs David Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.08
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.33
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.22
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.40
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.98
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni

23rd • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.1

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Malcolm Song (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ping How Ng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Isaac Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs David Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Edison Yue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.39
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.37
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R15	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Brandon Peh

38th • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jiahao Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Carl Rivera (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Edison Yue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.08
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.23
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.47
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.10
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.18

Pei-Tung Liao

39th • 6-3-0

67%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.7

Surp

5.4

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jason Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.40
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.32
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	2.48

Tomasz Żelazko

46th • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Brakowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Fahad Rahman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Malcolm Song (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.17
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.57
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.03
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.10
R15	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.60

Keisuke Iwamura

100th • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.2

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Catherine Levine (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jiahao Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rod Waje (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Bun Ar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Liang Choong Poh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.16
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.38

Carl Rivera

108th • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.6

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Viet Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brandon Peh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Vincent Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.15
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.39
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.21
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mirko Dolce

48th • 5-3-1

78%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.6

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Toh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Madeline Southwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs augustine shim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Draw	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.83
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.95
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Ji Timm Lee

32nd • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.6

Surp

3.4

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Clinton Ng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Malcolm Song (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R14	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R15	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	1.11

Dylan Thompson

34th • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.6

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Law Wen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.23
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.42
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.18

Gordon Koh Koh

50th • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eugene Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jose Lau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Viet Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.15
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.34
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.50
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.03
R14	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jc Kairos

62nd • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Zimmer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mortal Chu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.08
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.51
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.03
R14	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	1.03
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Teddy Tai

77th • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.3

Surp

4.3

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Diego Paoletti (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Carl Rivera (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Kelvin Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.27
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.34
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.43
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.71

Peter Bråss

85th • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

4.8

Surp

3.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eric Nguyễn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Kelvin Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.23
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.40
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.46
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.57
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.37
R13	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Enes Findik

109th • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.9

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Spencer Horton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R13

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.10
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.07
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.22
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.10
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Pauli Viimaranta

111th • 4-4-1

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

4.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Draw vs Vincent Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.11
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.15
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.32
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.53
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R15	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Connor Leverton

31st • 4-5-0

89%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Thomas Zimmer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.07
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.52
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R15	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.51

Paul van Gijssel

90th • 4-5-0

78%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.5

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Max Löhe (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Malcolm Song (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.30
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.49
R14	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R15	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Odi Winata

98th • 4-5-0

89%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.5

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Wilfred Luigi Sanicas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Carter Barton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chris Brummett (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Vincent Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.18
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.12
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R15	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

RICARDO DIAZ

99th • 4-5-0

78%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.3

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matt Quigley (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Richard Gillingham (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.46
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.96
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Yi Jun Loh

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jc Kairos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lillianna Student (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bill Dower (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs 岡本一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	2.23
R13	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R14	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Ilias Karamanis

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fahad Rahman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shing Tsang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Vincent Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.60
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Shing Tsang

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alan Jernigan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Liang Choong Poh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.09
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.73
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Colin Li

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Martin Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.86
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andy Pham

dropped • 4-1-0

80%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.26
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.73
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.96

Michaele Teppa

dropped • 4-1-0

80%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.6

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.43
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.97
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

Nakara Juntavong

dropped • 3-1-1

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs John Cooper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.21
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.57
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Draw	✓	0.49	-

Adrián Marín

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Tenorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.21
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.40
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Carter Barton

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Catherine Levine (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.47
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Damian Moss

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.53
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Dr. Daniel McKay

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs James Lewis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mark Boothroyd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.28
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.82
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gary Manttan

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Shawn Adams (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.42
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.83
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Handy Wijaya

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Zimmer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.41
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ivan Teo

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.8

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jose Lau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.73
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.90

Joshua Myles Lim

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.31
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.20
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

Kelvin Chen

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.27
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.34

Rob Catton

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.43
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.96

Suh Jaeyong

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Grant Bartel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Raine Karan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.20
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.18

augustine shim

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.33
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.40
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.66

Hayden Dale

dropped • 2-2-1

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gary Lynch (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Tyler Kearney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.16
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Draw	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Arjun Garg

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.38
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.43
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Bill Dower

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Devon Porcher (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.47
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chia Yong Teck

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Keith Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.24
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Clinton Ng

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Guarober (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Martin Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Colin Turner

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mathew Fletcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthew W (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs John Cooper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.43
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.57
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Cubi Nguyen

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Chris Brummett (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Liang Choong Poh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.41
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Daniel Toh

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs OLEKSII MAKODZEBA (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.41
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Francesco Giorgio

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Brakowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.16
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.40
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joel Gibbons

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Raine Karan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rob Catton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.97
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lane Thomason

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Henry Leasure (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Ng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.42
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

Nghia Tran

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs SEAN STELL (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.58
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Pang Chan

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.29
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Peter Buddensiek

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hans Kristian (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Oh Oh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Ryan Hill

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Shahmir Samee

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

Deck

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Roman Legíň (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.45

Troy Wilson

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alan Jernigan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.27
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.66

Yuki Matsumoto

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs George Chew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.39
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.34

Benjamin Fraser

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Catherine Levine (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Chase Osborne

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.28
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chris Brummett

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eugene Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jeremiah Oldes

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rob Catton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.18
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joel Guzman

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Phan Quan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hafiz Hamidon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Rod Waje

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Viet Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Diego Constantakis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lillianna Student (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Xavier McLean

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Oscar Vargas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Law Wen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 岡本一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.83
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

IAN MESQUITA

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Prisse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matt Quigley (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.29
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bun Ar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Richard Gillingham (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ping How Ng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Nelson Torres

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Philippe Cabero (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Philippe Cabero

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nelson Torres (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs August Rokkanen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Victor Mercado

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ping How Ng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.