Puffin, Hightail
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Krishan Patel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Allen Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jc Kairos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.