Calling: Christchurch 2025 - Aurora, Shooting Star (CC)

Aurora, Shooting Star

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jonathan Poll

17th • 7-4-0

91%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

5.1

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs kenny forrester (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Greg Mansfield (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Elijah Hewlett (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Max Middleton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alexander McCallum (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Chris Bewley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Krishaal Kumar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

91% (10/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.15
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.25
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.45
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.46
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.48
R9	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R10	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R11	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

bill huynh

19th • 7-4-0

82%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.7

Surp

2.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sable Wang-Wills (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Digl Dixon (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mathew Fletcher (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mickail Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Chris Bewley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

85:15

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Danne Blomfield (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 86:14

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.15
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.11
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.34
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.72
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.59
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.54
R10	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.20
R11	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Philip Nagle

35th • 6-4-1

91%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

5.2

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sarah Nicholas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jesse Williams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Steven Young (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Chris Bewley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nick Kerr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kiki Labad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Mae Jane Collett (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Draw vs Hayden Dale (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

91% (10/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.17
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.21
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.24
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.30
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R9	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R10	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.91
R11	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-

Isaac Katsakis

27th • 6-5-0

82%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

5.2

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Liam Anderson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ethan Holland (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hayden Dale (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Krishaal Kumar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Keegan Walls (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Max Middleton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sean Stanley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Mae Jane Collett (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Sable Wang-Wills (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.09
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.17
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.23
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.30
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.51
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.73
R9	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Ryan Williams

29th • 6-5-0

82%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Maxwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kiki Labad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dylan Strachan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ben Dodd (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jason Pickett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Sable Wang-Wills (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Hayden Dale (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.05
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.18
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.45
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.32
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.59
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.68
R10	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Taufik Indrakesuma

37th • 6-5-0

82%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

5.3

Surp

3.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs aaron newson (Unknown)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs logan boyd (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Edward Kim (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Yifei Wang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hamish Morgan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ryan Bastion (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Adam Torr (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Ross Newson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Ryan Williams (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.12
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.30
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.49
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.19
R10	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ryan Bastion

dropped • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Georgia Sumner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sarah Nicholas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christopher Wade (Unknown)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jason Pickett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.06
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.21
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.52
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Drew Giessler

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marie Watson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rob Davenport (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Karl Wulff (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Johann Dickson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.27
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.47
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.88
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Sean Dryland

dropped • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jared Anderson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ben Clarke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tarei King (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs James Lewis (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Karl Wulff (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Dylan Strachan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	85%	Loss	✓	0.86	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tom Hartley

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Fahad Rahman (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dan Jay (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Glover (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sarah Nicholas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.32
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.