Kassai of the Golden Sand
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-6-0
86%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Hamish Morgan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dan Jay (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Mackley (Unknown)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Will Evans (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Hartley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 23:77
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jared Anderson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Josh Vaiese (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.