Calling: Christchurch 2025 - Kayo, Armed and Dangerous (CC)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Danne Blomfield

26th • 7-4-0

27%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

5.0

Surp

4.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Clark (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dylan Strachan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marshall Stevenson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kiki Labad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

15:85

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs bill huynh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Meta Fit

27% (3/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.21
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.56
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.84
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.24
R8	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.90
R10	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R11	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.54

Jared Anderson

dropped • 2-5-0

14%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sean Dryland (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 13:87

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mathew Fletcher (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Robert Piper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Michael Glover (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54

15:85

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs deja ballard (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 13:87

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	15%	Win	✗	0.86	0.41
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.96
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-

Cassandra Hancock

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kelvin Clarke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 33:67

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mickail Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sage Walker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Wakelin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.22
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.