Calling: Christchurch 2025 - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Eugene C

41st • 5-6-0

45%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

5.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sam Hamilton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hamish Morgan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Maxwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sean Dryland (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rob Davenport (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Poll (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Edward Kim (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Danne Blomfield (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Nick Kerr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Ben Thomas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

45% (5/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.11
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.34
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.62
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.40
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.68
R9	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R11	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

sam hardman

dropped • 1-5-1

57%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Johann Dickson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Henry Groves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs alisa qian (Unknown)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Liam Anderson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs Dan Jay (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Draw	✗	0.40	-

Dexter Rei-Maynard

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cameron Hay (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs James Arnesen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Wade (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.49
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.