Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Henry Moore (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raymond Ocdol (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Karl Wulff (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Georgia Sumner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Philip Nagle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ross Newson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sable Wang-Wills (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jayden Allan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sean Stanley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
9th • 8-3-0
82%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Chu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lee Mackley (Unknown)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kiki Labad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Seb Hart (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sean Stanley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs bill huynh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
25th • 7-3-1
64%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.8
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Drew Giessler (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Liam Fisher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Khoi Dinh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Dodd (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Seb Hart (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fahad Rahman (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Adam Torr (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs aaron newson (Unknown)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nick Kerr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
15th • 7-4-0
73%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Piper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cassandra Hancock (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
100:0
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hamish Morgan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Oscar Groves (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Will Evans (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ross Newson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Sean Stanley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jasin Long (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
32nd • 6-4-1
45%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tamesi Harman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander McCallum (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Ward (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs spencer horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Bastion (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ryan Williams (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Chris Bewley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs Philip Nagle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Draw |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
100:0
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dan Jay (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Kerr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ricky hays (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
100:0
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Hill (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Poll (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Clark (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Lewis (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Quazi Tahmeedzaman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Wolffenbuttel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jed Lawless (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jasin Long (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mae Jane Collett (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam McCallum (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Drew Giessler (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Kerr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tim Wolffenbuttel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mickail Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Loss vs Kiki Labad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liam Fisher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dylan Strachan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Fisher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Rei-Maynard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.