Bravo, Showstopper at Calling: Christchurch 2025
Bravo, Showstopper
2 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 8-3-0
91%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gary Lynch (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vincent Gardiner (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jimmy Hensworth (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Keegan Walls (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sage Walker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Danne Blomfield (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jonathan Poll (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
91% (10/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 65% | Win |
42nd • 5-6-0
82%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Wellington (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Max Middleton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dan Jay (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 9: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ben Thomas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 11: Win vs Chris Bewley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (5.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.