Jarl Vetreiði at Calling: Christchurch 2025
Jarl Vetreiði
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
28th • 6-4-1
45%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Glover (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
5:95
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Isaac Olssen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs spencer horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Krishaal Kumar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mae Jane Collett (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs Ross Newson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Draw |
dropped • 3-3-1
29%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Marshall (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gary Lynch (Unknown)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Will Evans (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Win vs Ivan Santos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Johann Dickson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
Round 7: Win vs Sam Davison (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Draw |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-1
57%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
5:95
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Glover (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 34:66
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Archer Ying (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tom Hartley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Torr (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cameron Hay (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs sam hardman (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Draw |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs deja ballard (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Josh Vaiese (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Seb Hart (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marshall Stevenson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 6: Loss vs Liam Fisher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Quazi Tahmeedzaman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
40%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Steve Austin-Crawford (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Win vs Liam Anderson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elliott Nichols (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 65:35
5:95
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Draw |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Cody Gebert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Payne (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Quazi Tahmeedzaman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jay Haskett (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Draw |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Santos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Hamilton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Loss vs Kelvin Clarke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.