Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
3 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 9-4-0
92%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Klopper (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tamesi Harman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sam Davison (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lee Mackley (Unknown)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Fahad Rahman (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
Round 9: Loss vs Jayden Allan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Nick Butcher (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
11th • 8-2-1
82%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Wade (Unknown)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Danne Blomfield (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Matt Rogers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs bill huynh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Edward Kim (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sable Wang-Wills (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hayden Dale (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Hamish Morgan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Isaac Olssen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
20th • 7-4-0
64%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Falconer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edward Kim (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Ben Clarke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hamish Morgan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Wade (Unknown)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ben Thomas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Max Middleton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nick Kerr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.