Ira, Scarlet Revenger
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 7-4-0
55%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Darryn Ying (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Max Middleton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keegan Walls (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Philip Nagle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Round 7: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Raymond Ocdol (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Olssen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jayden Allan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kelvin Clarke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chris Bewley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jasin Long (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Bates (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sage Walker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Raymond Ocdol (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jay Haskett (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Katsakis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs aaron newson (Unknown)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-1
50%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lachlan Buchan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Ryan Hill (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs deja ballard (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Draw |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.