Kano, Dracai of Aether
3 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 9-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Bates (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Hartley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Clark (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matt Rogers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jasin Long (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Steven Young (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Cody Gebert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
21st • 7-4-0
82%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Archer Ying (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Philip Nagle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tamesi Harman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sarah Nicholas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nick Kerr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Fahad Rahman (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ross Newson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Krishaal Kumar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 68:32
15:85
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Quazi Tahmeedzaman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cameron Hay (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jasin Long (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Loss vs Mae Jane Collett (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sean Delaney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sam Payne (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Round 7: Loss vs Ben Wolffenbuttel (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.