Dromai at Sunday Showdown: Hamburg 2026

Dromai

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jaap IJlst

13th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tor Vorren (Fai) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Alex Chițu (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ognjen Marinkovic (Chane) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Michał Biernacki (Oscilio) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Fai) - Expected: 54:46

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Michael Koch (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.28
R4	Silver Age	Chane	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.85
R6	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Michaele Teppa

32nd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mark Bisschops (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Dennis Ferber (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Liam Holden (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Andreas Jacobsen (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.25
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.87
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thomas van Dijk

40th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Andreas Reling (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio) - Expected: 39:61

20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 20:80

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Felix Ebert (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Corey Cruickshank (Iyslander) - Expected: 48:52

20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Viet Phuong Ricardo Le (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 20:80

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs cory macewan (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Franz Sawertal (Dash) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.53	0.67
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Dash	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.58

Henry Wiesner

55th • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.5

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Romain Lambert (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 53:47

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Fai) - Expected: 54:46

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Koch (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Smith (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

10:90

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Rhinar) - Expected: 12:88, underdog victory

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.12
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Rhinar	10%	Win	✗	0.88	3.06

Goele Nuyts

58th • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Koch (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alex Moulin (Dorinthea) - Expected: 82:18

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs André Kofmel (Oscilio) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Corey Cruickshank (Iyslander) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Melvin Lemke-Detlefsen (Iyslander) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Thomas Valin (Oscilio) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.07
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.85
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.53	0.81
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.47	-
R8	Silver Age	Oscilio	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.36

cory macewan

69th • 3-5-0

75%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Diana Triebnig (Fai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

10:90

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Niklas Wunsch (Rhinar) - Expected: 12:88

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Samed Demir (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Andreas Jacobsen (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

10:90

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Rhinar) - Expected: 12:88

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Quinn Aurich (Iyslander) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.17
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.53	1.07

Aaron Beernaert

dropped • 4-2-1

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Dan Moldovan (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kacper Sobieszczuk (Chane) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Michael de Kok (Oscilio) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jonasemil Schmidt (Azalea) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Robert Kiene (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

20:80

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Draw vs Callum McMurray (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Chane	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.58
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.26
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	20%	Draw	✗	0.20	-

Robson Dechamps

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Fai) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mara Graß (Fai) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Hamish Dean (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Christian Bach (Fai) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Iyslander) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.35
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.44
R4	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.47	-

Dennis Ferber

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Will Melyn (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Liam Holden (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tomasz Buda

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Oscilio) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ariela Randriamasy (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 20:80

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Stefan Fohs (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.45
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Niklas Astner

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Sayan Srour (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 20:80

20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Callum McMurray (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.