Rhinar at Sunday Showdown: Hamburg 2026

Rhinar

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Francesco D'Amendola

41st • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Paul Beese (Oscilio) - Expected: 42:58

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Franz Sawertal (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Maike Reistel (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Arne Walter (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Eliassen (Fai) - Expected: 26:74

90:10

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs cory macewan (Dromai) - Expected: 88:12

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Mikey Dwyer (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Andreas Reuter (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.14
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jacob Joergensen

43rd • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.3

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Janine Walter (Lexi) - Expected: 40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Damien Mironoff (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Franz Sawertal (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Christopher Dührkop (Briar) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Falko Holzenhauer (Enigma) - Expected: 70:30

80:20

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 80:20

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	20%	Win	✗	0.80	1.77
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.45
R8	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.32

Niklas Wunsch

45th • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Callum McMurray (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Lexi) - Expected: 40:60

90:10

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs cory macewan (Dromai) - Expected: 88:12

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Callum Young (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Andreas Reuter (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Oldhim) - Expected: 57:43

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Enigma) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Koch (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.07
R4	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R8	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Louis Van Keymeulen

66th • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.8

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Michał Biernacki (Oscilio) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Oscilio) - Expected: 42:58

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Arne Walter (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Joergensen (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Diana Triebnig (Fai) - Expected: 26:74

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Mara Graß (Fai) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

90:10

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Henry Wiesner (Dromai) - Expected: 88:12, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.32
R3	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	Silver Age	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Fai	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.69
R8	Silver Age	Dromai	90%	Loss	✓	0.88	-

Aurelien Souchet

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Steffen Gursinsky (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Briar) - Expected: 20:80

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Fai) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Briar	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Kaloyan Nikov

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Marc Paulsen (Lexi) - Expected: 40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ricardo Manrique (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.