Terra at Sunday Showdown: Hamburg 2026

Terra

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jurij Di Carlo

18th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Eduard Cziszter (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Felix Ebert (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Andreas Reling (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Leonel Samayoa (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Viet Phuong Ricardo Le (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Joscha Amann (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Rob van der Burgh

31st • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Corey Cruickshank (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Przemysław Leszczyński (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Mikey Dwyer (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Cato DIrdal (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michael Koch

36th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Goele Nuyts (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Dührkop (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Franz Sawertal (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Niklas Wunsch (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Steffen Gursinsky

dropped • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Aurelien Souchet (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Vitalik Steckis (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mara Graß (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Robert Crone (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Emmi Pelkonen (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.