Valda Brightaxe at Sunday Showdown: Hamburg 2026
Valda Brightaxe
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs William Hightower (Briar) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Hamish Dean (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Briar) - Expected: 33:67
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Kacper Sobieszczuk (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Arne Walter (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R7
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Chane | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Terra | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.