Blaze, Firemind at Sunday Showdown: Hamburg 2026

Blaze, Firemind

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Laurens Overgaauw

28th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Mara Graß (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mikey Dwyer (Iyslander) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Dromai) - Expected: 52:48

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Lexi) - Expected: 27:73

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Dan Moldovan (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Tom Tydecks (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.89
R8	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kevin Gehringer

44th • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Christian Bach (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Marc Paulsen (Lexi) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Oscilio) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Angelo Zaccardi (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Oscilio) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Eduard Cziszter (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.48
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.63
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R7	Silver Age	Oscilio	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Quest Pittman

46th • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Leonel Samayoa (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs René K (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Callum McMurray (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 56:44

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Smith (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Michael Koch (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Oscilio) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Andreas Jacobsen (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Dan Moldovan (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Jonas Benzarti

53rd • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tino Mille (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Leonel Samayoa (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Goele Nuyts (Dromai) - Expected: 52:48

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Callum Young (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Paul Beese (Oscilio) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Joergensen (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R5	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.89
R8	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Markus Heimbeck

74th • 2-6-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Oscilio) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Oscilio) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Declan Macewan (Iyslander) - Expected: 48:52

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Maike Reistel (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Quinn Aurich (Iyslander) - Expected: 48:52

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jacqueline Holthausen (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Robert Kiene (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.79
R7	Silver Age	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Romain Lambert

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Arne Walter (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Henry Wiesner (Dromai) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Payne (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Stefan Fohs (Lexi) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Eduard Cziszter (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Paul Beese (Oscilio) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Win	✗	0.73	1.36
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.87
R7	Silver Age	Oscilio	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Richard Kruithof

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Lexi) - Expected: 27:73

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Lukaszewicz (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Christian Bach (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs William Hightower (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Marc Paulsen (Lexi) - Expected: 27:73

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Kacper Sobieszczuk (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.68
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R6	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Robert Crone

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Maike Reistel (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Iyslander) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Vitalik Steckis (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Quinn Aurich (Iyslander) - Expected: 48:52

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Steffen Gursinsky (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.88
R6	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Werner Maier

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Dennis Hahn (Oscilio) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tim Heibrok (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Marc Paulsen (Lexi) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	15%	Win	✗	0.83	0.63
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.