Blaze, Firemind at Sunday Showdown: Hamburg 2026

Blaze, Firemind

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Laurens Overgaauw

28th • 5-3-0

25%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Mara Graß (Fai) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mikey Dwyer (Iyslander) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Dromai) - Expected: 47:53

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Oldhim) - Expected: 36:64

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Lexi) - Expected: 28:72

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Dan Moldovan (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Tom Tydecks (Chane) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.28
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.41
R4	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Silver Age	Chane	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Kevin Gehringer

44th • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Christian Bach (Fai) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Marc Paulsen (Lexi) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Oscilio) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Angelo Zaccardi (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio) - Expected: 22:78

20:80

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Oscilio) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Eduard Cziszter (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	30%	Win	✗	0.72	0.46
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R7	Silver Age	Oscilio	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Quest Pittman

46th • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Leonel Samayoa (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs René K (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Callum McMurray (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 59:41

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Smith (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Michael Koch (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Oscilio) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Andreas Jacobsen (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Dan Moldovan (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.28
R4	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Jonas Benzarti

53rd • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tino Mille (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Leonel Samayoa (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Goele Nuyts (Dromai) - Expected: 47:53

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Callum Young (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Paul Beese (Oscilio) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

20:80

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Joergensen (Rhinar) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.55
R5	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Silver Age	Rhinar	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Markus Heimbeck

74th • 2-6-0

50%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Oscilio) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Oscilio) - Expected: 22:78

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Declan Macewan (Iyslander) - Expected: 45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Maike Reistel (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Quinn Aurich (Iyslander) - Expected: 45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jacqueline Holthausen (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Robert Kiene (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.85
R7	Silver Age	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Romain Lambert

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Arne Walter (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Henry Wiesner (Dromai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Payne (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Fai) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Stefan Fohs (Lexi) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Eduard Cziszter (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

20:80

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Paul Beese (Oscilio) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.41
R4	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	30%	Win	✗	0.72	1.32
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.83
R7	Silver Age	Oscilio	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Richard Kruithof

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Lexi) - Expected: 28:72

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Lukaszewicz (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Christian Bach (Fai) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs William Hightower (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Marc Paulsen (Lexi) - Expected: 28:72

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Kacper Sobieszczuk (Chane) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.64
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R6	Silver Age	Chane	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.14

Robert Crone

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Maike Reistel (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Iyslander) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Vitalik Steckis (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Quinn Aurich (Iyslander) - Expected: 45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Steffen Gursinsky (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.95
R6	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Werner Maier

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Dennis Hahn (Oscilio) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tim Heibrok (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Florian) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Marc Paulsen (Lexi) - Expected: 28:72

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	20%	Win	✗	0.78	0.55
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.