Gravy Bones

Gravy Bones

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

59th 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.5
Diff
Dromai
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Oscilio
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Fai
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Bernd Nielsen (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Iyslander
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Corey Cruickshank (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Briar
!!
30:70
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs William Hightower (Briar) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Briar
!!
30:70
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Vitalik Steckis (Briar) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Dash
R7
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Franz Sawertal (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Briar
!!
30:70
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Spencer Baker (Briar) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
dropped 2-2-0
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
Oscilio
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Gary White (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Dromai
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Enigma
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Aurora
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Maike Reistel (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.