Katsu, the Wanderer
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jason Pickett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Paz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Win vs Brodie Whyte (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Perri (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Taine Markley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Chew (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dom Nappa (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Remi Grasset (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Peter Katsakis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matt Nguyen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
42nd • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arthur Kindl (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Liam Naughten (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mat Collett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Win vs Liam Bennett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cody Gebert (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Homan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Vincent Lam (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Thomas Mifsud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 12: Loss vs Alex Paz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Winter Lachlan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vinh Luong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Malek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Angove (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bryce Herbert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Win vs Jason Ly (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Adam Pickett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Bastow (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
Round 2: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kory Hearn (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Chew (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs logan boyd (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Liam Reyne (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Simon Crow (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nikolas Moraitis (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Brendon Allan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dom Nappa (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Samuel Angove (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Win vs Aidan Ward (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Armin Eminovic (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Adam Little (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Homan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Damien Hutchins (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs bill huynh (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Tye Soens (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hayden Dale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Coulson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Taylor (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Lenihan (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Uhyoung Choi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Asquith (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Shane Van Den Hurk (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Sibley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jerome Casado (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liam Hussey (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josh Kijak (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luis Henriques (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Loh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs kenny forrester (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jaxon Every (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Liu (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charlie Thompson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Thompson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Pickett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Harley Birch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jesse Mann (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brennan Collier (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Kennedy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Storey (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jerry Kaonang (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Snoek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Norton (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Kwan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Remi Grasset (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs kenny forrester (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adrienne Morales (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nathan Bonham (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Vinh Luong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lachlan Saunders (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Win vs kenny forrester (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Bastion (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Angove (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grace Luckman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Portelli (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Flook (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tom Dagan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lachlan Quinn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ben Clarke (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carl Camit (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Rossborough (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leigh Carmody (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Faron Swingler (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brendon Allan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lance Sielaff (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Faron Swingler (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Scott Ward (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Baines (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taine Markley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Armas (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Andy Pham (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Nguyen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Steven Liu (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kael Sabben (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs kenny forrester (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Kennedy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.