Iyslander, Stormbind
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
30th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zac Goode (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tye Soens (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Win vs Liam Bennett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carl Camit (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Damien Hutchins (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38
Round 7: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 8: Loss vs Sang Wook Kim (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Dom Nappa (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Taine Markley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Muhamad Fachrul (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
31st • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kaylee Carmody (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Greg Mansfield (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs kenny forrester (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Royals (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs German Glukhov (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 8: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Andrew Qi (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Robert Piper (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
Round 11: Loss vs Nicholas Loh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs logan boyd (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
37th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kurt White (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Theodore Scott (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Uhyoung Choi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Laura Car (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Oliver Sylven (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jasin Long (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs logan boyd (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Darren Taing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Tyshing (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
38th • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
6.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ashley Minjoot (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Bell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carl Camit (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kuan Li (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Watt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Troy Wilson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38
Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Loh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 8: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 9: Loss vs Alex Paz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs kenny forrester (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
48th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Armas (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Alex Sheedy (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs bill huynh (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Mifsud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 8: Loss vs Hayden Beck (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jonathan Asquith (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 10: Loss vs Max Chapman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Keegan Walls (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Juhasz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sable Wang-Wills (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Sgammotta (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Liam Naughten (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Ward (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ben Clarke (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Uhyoung Choi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Danial Affendy (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Scott Ward (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Nguyen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Adrien De Haro (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vincent Lam (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Toby Firth (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joel De Francesco (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tim Gunderson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jasin Long (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Darren Taing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hamish Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shane Johnstone (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Win vs Zane Landrigan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Toby Firth (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cameron New (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Huitong Mo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Phillips (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Dang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 7: Loss vs Hayden Beck (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Lam (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Kostoglou (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Mifsud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aidan Ward (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Laura Car (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Little (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lucas Ward (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robert Hall (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Bucknall (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Little (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Loss vs Tye Soens (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Greg Illingworth (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Rusling (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Casey Wilson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Roy Lai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Yeoh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Win vs Ashley Minjoot (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andreas Andronicou (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Harley Birch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Toni Challenor (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Solien-Alder (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elijah Hewlett (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Parker (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jayden Grogan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brendon Allan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.