Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Melbourne 2023
Fai, Rising Rebellion
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 9-3-0
42%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
6.4
Surp
6.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jerry Kaonang (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Xavier Ryan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Asquith (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Basil Foo (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37
Round 6: Win vs Roy Lai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Matt Nguyen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 9: Win vs Thomas Mifsud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sang Wook Kim (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
Round 11: Win vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
26th • 8-4-0
8%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Brendon Allan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs phil bell (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Scott Ward (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Barnes (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mike Ngawati (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Bingemann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Round 9: Win vs Matt Nguyen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Max Chapman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
Round 12: Win vs Taine Markley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
8% (1/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
36th • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Katsakis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Rogers (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Bastion (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Nick McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
Round 8: Win vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hayden Beck (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nicholas Loh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
40th • 7-5-0
33%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
6.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Luke Fletcher (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Poll (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs Jesse McDonald (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Royals (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Rusling (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69
Round 10: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 11: Win vs Tom Malek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Toby Firth (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
50th • 6-6-0
33%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Johnson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Darren Taing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dom Nappa (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Angove (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Homan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs German Glukhov (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrew Tyshing (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Sable Wang-Wills (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Vincent Lam (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Bonham (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Win vs Andy Pham (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Vinh Luong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Katsakis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brendon Allan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs James Lewis (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kory Hearn (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Gubbins (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sarah Nicholas (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Armin Eminovic (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Bates (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Parker (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Johnson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ross Jackson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs danika hoskins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Shaan Kanagalingam (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Greg Illingworth (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs James Ward (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs James Storey (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse McDonald (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69
Round 2: Win vs David Macara (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Parker (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Faron Swingler (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zayn Rothnie (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Lenihan (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Bucknall (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Faron Swingler (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Bonham (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Rossborough (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Curtis (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Ly (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Olivia Ruk (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Clarke (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Loss vs Dom Nappa (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Cavenett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.