Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Melbourne 2023
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
15th • 9-2-1
58%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Vincent Lim (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Bucknall (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elijah Hewlett (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Dodd (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matt Nguyen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Robert Piper (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Drew Giessler (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 19:81
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Keegan Walls (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Daniel Homan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 33:67
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Robert Wise (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Rusling (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Draw |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 19:81
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Liam Reyne (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leigh Fletcher (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Kooyman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kiki Labad (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dev Gordon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mike Ngawati (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Clarke (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jayden Grogan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Basil Foo (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hamish Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 2: Win vs phil bell (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs spencer horton (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Simon Crow (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jerome Casado (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Chew (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Flook (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs jiasu chen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 19:81
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eugene C (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Josh Kijak (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Horne (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hamish Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Bingemann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Win vs James Storey (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samantha Ison (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robert Hall (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robert Wise (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Taylor (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kaylee Carmody (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Xavier Ryan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Karel Doorman (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adrien De Haro (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Kooyman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Whyte (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 3: Win vs jeffrey borroni (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hayden Beck (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Bastion (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leigh Fletcher (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 33:67
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Bentley (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Beck (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 33:67
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Lewis (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Keomany (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs John Wardan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Theo Michelis (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.