Calling: Melbourne 2023 - Arakni, Huntsman (CC)

Arakni, Huntsman

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Damian Moss

27th • 8-4-0

75%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

5.5

Surp

4.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Harry Kaloyirou (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kiki Labad (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Keomany (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Darryn Ying (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Muhamad Fachrul (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 19:81

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jonathan Asquith (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Max Chapman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 70:30

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Drew Giessler (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Rusling (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Matt Nguyen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.10
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.16
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.10
R4	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.39
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Win	✗	0.81	1.59
R9	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.39
R10	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Aidan Ward

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Thompson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 19:81

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jason Pickett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dom Nappa (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Zac Goode (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jerry Kaonang (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Snoek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lawrence Mason (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 70:30

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R7	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.51

Chad Mitchell

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Casey Wilson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 19:81

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lynnette Nattrass (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs corey ingram (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.