Kano, Dracai of Aether
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Hussey (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jerry Kaonang (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs Bill Learmonth (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Tom Malek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Remi Grasset (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
Round 8: Loss vs Darren Taing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Samuel Angove (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Daniel Homan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-5-0
70%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Theo Michelis (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Hill (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
Round 3: Loss vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Sheedy (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 5: Win vs John Cavenett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hamish Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matt Rogers (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs logan boyd (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Brendon Allan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Cooper (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene C (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesse McDonald (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dev Gordon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Solien-Alder (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jaii Nestler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Piper (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Theodore Scott (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Harley Birch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Isaac Ward (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sable Wang-Wills (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dev Gordon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Reyne (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Win vs Leigh Carmody (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samantha Ison (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs William Yeoh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Herbert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Pickett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 15:85
Round 4: Loss vs James Storey (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Gunderson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.