Kano, Dracai of Aether at Calling: Melbourne 2023
Kano, Dracai of Aether
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Hussey (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jerry Kaonang (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Bill Learmonth (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Tom Malek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Remi Grasset (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Darren Taing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Samuel Angove (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Daniel Homan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-5-0
70%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Theo Michelis (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Hill (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Sheedy (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 5: Win vs John Cavenett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hamish Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matt Rogers (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs logan boyd (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Brendon Allan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Cooper (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Justin Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene C (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesse McDonald (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dev Gordon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Solien-Alder (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jaii Nestler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Piper (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Theodore Scott (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Harley Birch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Isaac Ward (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sable Wang-Wills (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dev Gordon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Reyne (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leigh Carmody (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samantha Ison (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs William Yeoh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Herbert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 30:70
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Pickett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Storey (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Gunderson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.