Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro at Calling: Melbourne 2023
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 9-4-0
69%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Flook (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kory Hearn (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Bell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicole Pursey (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Win vs Sarah Nicholas (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adrienne Morales (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Aaron Curtis (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Toby Firth (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Robert Wise (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alex Crowther (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ryan Hill (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Langosch (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Yeoh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max Chapman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Winter Lachlan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jake mccormack (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sean Yang (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Sammut (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Jones (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jasin Long (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brendon Allan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jalen Williams Max (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Kwan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Johnson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Loh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rusling (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Wes Hendricks (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aidan Ward (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Armin Eminovic (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Pinnuck (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jalen Williams Max (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 70:30
Round 2: Win vs Kael Sabben (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Perri (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Ward (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Pickett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jayden Grogan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Luey (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 21:79
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Andronicou (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shane Johnstone (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lawrence Mason (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.