Uzuri, Switchblade at Calling: Melbourne 2023
Uzuri, Switchblade
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 12-3-0
67%
Meta
+4.3
Perf
7.3
Surp
6.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dom Nappa (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Katsakis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jerome Casado (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Karel Doorman (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Uhyoung Choi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Max Chapman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
Round 8: Win vs Matt Nguyen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs German Glukhov (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 13: Win vs Kuan Li (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
Round 15: Win vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (10/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.3 Wins (7.7 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
7.3 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
3rd • 11-3-0
64%
Meta
+4.1
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Horne (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Phu Nguyen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Baines (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Muhamad Fachrul (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71
Round 6: Win vs Luke Fletcher (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mike Ngawati (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 8: Win vs Vincent Lam (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tom Malek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Nicholas Loh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs German Glukhov (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs German Glukhov (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
64% (9/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
16th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.0
Surp
4.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David de Bruyne (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Digl Dixon (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Casey Wilson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Sammut (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vincent Lam (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Adam Parker (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 8: Win vs Sable Wang-Wills (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Thomas Mifsud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Hayden Beck (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Max Chapman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
19th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Toby Firth (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs Huitong Mo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Uhyoung Choi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cody Gebert (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matt Nguyen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 10: Win vs Muhamad Fachrul (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Round 12: Loss vs Peter Katsakis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Basil Foo (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Crowther (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Lachlan Quinn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Anderson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kuan Li (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71
Round 6: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tye Soens (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Bingemann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Roy Lai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brodie Whyte (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Mifsud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Cooper (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Scott Ward (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Evan Bentley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Harley Birch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mat Collett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Billy Docherty (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paul Johnson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charlie Thompson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Grace Luckman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Loss vs Shane Van Den Hurk (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kael Sabben (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Kooyman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Magliano (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Sibley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
Round 5: Win vs Chris Armas (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Billy Docherty (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Lam (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Bates (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Fahad Rahman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs logan boyd (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicole Pursey (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Armstrong (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Win vs James MacDonald (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesse McDonald (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Bates (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Lewis (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrienne Morales (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Crowther (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Damien Hutchins (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs William Bucknall (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Drew Giessler (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Byrne (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Little (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs corey ingram (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Yeoh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hayden Beck (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Max Chapman (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charles Nelson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Basil Foo (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Juhasz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lance Sielaff (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Armas (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Adrienne Morales (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lachlan Quinn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Philip Nagle (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.