Dorinthea Ironsong
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
43rd • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shane Johnstone (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Barnes (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phu Nguyen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs jiasu chen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ben Clarke (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Greg Mansfield (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kuan Li (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Hayden Beck (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs kenny forrester (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Hall (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs jeffrey borroni (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zane Landrigan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Wardan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Roy Lai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Basil Foo (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lynnette Nattrass (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mat Collett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bill Learmonth (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vinh Luong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Barnes (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Darren Taing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Kiely (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Donald Tang (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Yang (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Owen Palmer (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sang Wook Kim (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lance Sielaff (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Toby Wilson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luis Henriques (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jaii Nestler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Bonham (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Byrne (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.