Calling: Melbourne 2023 - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jaxon Every

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Xavier Nelson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kuan Li (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Scott Ward (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ashley Minjoot (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tom Malek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ethan Rossborough (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 22:78

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Robert Hall (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.11
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.32

Adam Pickett

dropped • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Kwan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kaeleb Rundell (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Luke Kooyman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Xavier Nelson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Joshua Pinnuck (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ashley Kalz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.10
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.47
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Leigh Carmody

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joel De Francesco (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 23:77

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Winter Lachlan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Danial Affendy (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Flook (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	85%	Loss	✓	0.85	-

xuhong tang

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Xavier Ryan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 22:78

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chris Armas (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Charles Nelson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.