Prism, Awakener of Sol at Calling: Melbourne 2023

Prism, Awakener of Sol

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jaxon Every

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Xavier Nelson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kuan Li (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Scott Ward (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ashley Minjoot (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tom Malek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ethan Rossborough (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Robert Hall (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Adam Pickett

dropped • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Kwan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kaeleb Rundell (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Luke Kooyman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Xavier Nelson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Joshua Pinnuck (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ashley Kalz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Leigh Carmody

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joel De Francesco (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Winter Lachlan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Danial Affendy (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Flook (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

xuhong tang

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Xavier Ryan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chris Armas (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Charles Nelson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.