Viserai, Rune Blood
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leigh Carmody (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Angove (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Barnes (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oliver Sylven (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ethan Rossborough (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Loss vs spencer horton (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Carl Camit (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.