National Championship 2026 - Poland - Jarl Vetreiði (CC)

Jarl Vetreiði

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Igor Wesołowski

27th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.9

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mikołaj Fabrowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mateusz Sadowy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Miłosz Bielawski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michał Biereg (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kamil Zabłocki senior (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Piotr Zapała (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Kamila Cała (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.09
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.71
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.24
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.74
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Win	✗	0.68	2.13
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Łukasz Schok

47th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kacper Mocek (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mikołaj Łysko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Paweł Romanowski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Błażej Gierszon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Adrian Kowalski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Piotr Siewko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.74
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.30

Michał Biernacki

19th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

4.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Paweł Romanowski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kamila Cała (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jagreen Lern (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Bartosz Sobolewski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ksawery Ciesielski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Kacper Sobieszczuk (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.08
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.58
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Win	✗	0.68	2.13
R10	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.63

Maciej Brożek

36th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jotrick Rheaume (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maciej Laskowski (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kamila Cała (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Sebastian Szuster (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Paweł Leszuk (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.09
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.42
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.84
R10	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.84

Adam Skruch

44th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ania Grudnowska (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michał Rzepczyński (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Szuster (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Robert Szura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Piotr Zapała (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Bartosz Sobolewski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.09
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.96
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Michał Zalejski

51st • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mariusz Gapski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Sobolewski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kacper Szymański (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Krzysztof Figas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Adrian Kowalski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.09
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.40
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.10
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R10	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.95

Błażej Gierszon

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrzej Meczynski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ksawery Ciesielski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Łukasz Schok (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.25
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mateusz Gąsienica-Sieczka

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Urban (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Wojciech Hudziak (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Krzysztof Figas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.60
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.96

Daniyar Saduakassov

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Grzegorz Marcisz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Marcin Pelzner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Miłosz Wierzchoń (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.75

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.