Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
39th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michał Biereg (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mikołaj Walc (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paweł Sosnowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Piotr Chudobinski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kacper Sobieszczuk (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Maciej Brożek (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.