Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
6.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Krzysztof Szukajło (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kamil Grodecki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
Round 9: Win vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 10: Win vs Jotrick Rheaume (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
6.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.