Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
4.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Michalak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michał Biernacki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maciej Brożek (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
29th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Artur Wysocki (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Lillianna Student (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michał Zalejski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
30th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcin Pelzner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maciej Brożek (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michał Rzepczyński (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sebastian Niedzielec (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Round 9: Loss vs Michał Biereg (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
20th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcin Deczkowski (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Skruch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Round 8: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Paweł Romanowski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
24th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dominik Popławski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paweł Sosnowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Andrzej Lamecki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
Round 10: Loss vs Adam Urban (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 65% | Loss |
46th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jakub Szczotka (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Damian Rusin (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Przemysław Smoleń (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mateusz Sadowy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dominik Popławski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Łukasz Schok (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
42nd • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michał Billewicz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Łukasz Schok (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakub Kulpinski (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Round 9: Loss vs Adam Urban (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Piotr Stelmach (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jagreen Lern (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mikołaj Kasznia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mateusz Gąsienica-Sieczka (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michał Zalejski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kamila Cała (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Szuster (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michał Rzepczyński (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ania Grudnowska (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mikołaj Łysko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcin Pelzner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jakub "Harry" Ratajczyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Skruch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maciej Michalak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrycjusz Janas (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kamil Zabłocki senior (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michał Billewicz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.