Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tomasz Stanicki (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bartosz Sobolewski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs Jotrick Rheaume (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Robert Szura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
9th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Win vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paweł Sosnowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mateusz Sadowy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
26th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcin Glowacki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Urban (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 24:76
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mateusz Ziętkiewicz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Sobolewski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
48th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
4.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Loss vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrzej Meczynski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Piotr Siewko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 10: Win vs Sebastian Niedzielec (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Krzysztof Nowek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michał Zalejski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Miłosz Bielawski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jotrick Rheaume (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michał Biereg (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcin Glowacki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ksawery Ciesielski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michał Rzepczyński (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Piotr Stelmach (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Kulpinski (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.