National Championship 2026 - Poland - Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow (CC)

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Adam Urban

16th • 6-1-0

29%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

6.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mateusz Gąsienica-Sieczka (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Artur Dziadosz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24

5:95

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 7:93

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ksawery Ciesielski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Mikołaj Łysko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

6.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.16
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.11
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.83
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.92
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.04
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.26

Dawid Mrówczyński

11th • 5-2-0

29%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Łoboda (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Miłosz Wierzchoń (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michał Billewicz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

5:95

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 7:93

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Artur Dziadosz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zyggy Starlight	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.21
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.38
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.91
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.14
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.55

Mariusz Suchanecki

dropped • 2-2-1

20%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tomasz Zalejski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Maciej Laskowski (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67

10:90

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 11:89

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.73
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	10%	Draw	✗	0.11	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.