National Championship 2026 - Poland - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kamil Grodecki

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Krzysztof Nowek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mikołaj Frohmberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jotrick Rheaume (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Szuster (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Michał Biereg (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.18
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.40
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Marcin Deczkowski

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.9

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Laskowski (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Robert Szura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Patryk Gułaś (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.40
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Maciej Laskowski

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bogdan Ignacyk (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marcin Deczkowski (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Brożek (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	15%	Win	✗	0.83	0.64
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.