National Championship 2026 - Poland - Arakni, Huntsman (CC)

Arakni, Huntsman

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Loay Achmasiewicz

49th • 3-3-1

71%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Grzegorz Marcisz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wojciech Arendt (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Paweł Romanowski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67

90:10

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 89:11

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Przemysław Smoleń (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Łukasz Schok (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.08
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.41
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R8	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	90%	Draw	✓	0.89	-
R9	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Krzysztof Szukajło

dropped • 2-1-1

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bartosz Binczyk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Ksawery Ciesielski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michał Biereg (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kacper Mocek (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Damian Rusin

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Przemysław Smoleń (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Piotr Stelmach (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.11
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.40
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Jagreen Lern

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Krzysztof Figas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Kowalski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michał Biernacki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.10

Mateusz Ziętkiewicz

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wojciech Arendt (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrzej Meczynski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Artur Dziadosz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.58

Piotr Przyczyna

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mikołaj Kasznia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mikołaj Fabrowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.92
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.