National Championship 2026 - Poland - Ira, Scarlet Revenger (CC)

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Artur Wysocki

12th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mikołaj Kasznia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Artur Dziadosz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Mateusz Sadowy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.07
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.33
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.85
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.62
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.66

Tomasz Żelazko

28th • 4-3-0

14%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Paweł Sosnowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dominik Popławski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bartosz Binczyk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Sebastian Szuster (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Tomasz Zalejski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.16
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.67
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.56
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.46
R10	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Sebastian Niedzielec

50th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Filip Januszewski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Paweł Kręcki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Dominik Popławski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.20
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.21
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.99
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.