Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lillianna Student (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakub "Harry" Ratajczyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Marcin Glowacki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.