Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at National Championship 2026 - Brazil
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 9-1-0
90%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
4.6
Surp
5.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs igor pinheiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nelson Paes Jr. (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Filipe L. Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs João Rolim (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Luiz Bussolli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Bruno Santos (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Rafael De Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Átila Lima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
10th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs WEVERSON OLIVEIRA (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luiz Bussolli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Raphael Barrese (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
15th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Tenorio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs VITOR MILIONI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bruno Cebollada (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Átila Lima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Laerte Cursino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kaina Gimenez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
24th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mario Cioffi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs VITOR VANACOR (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pedro Henrique Antonio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs VITOR MILIONI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Roosevelt Villela (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Round 10: Loss vs Filipe L. Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
29th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Murilo Lixandrao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Renan Albino da Cunha (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nelson Paes Jr. (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Enzo Bigodeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Thomaz Sardinha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
33rd • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raphael Gaspar (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Loss vs Filipe L. Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Bortolucci (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Vinicius Borges (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs RODOLPHO ETINGER (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Henrique Rodrigues (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
35th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Hugo Maximo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Murilo Lixandrao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Schneider (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thales Paiva (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Henrique Rodrigues (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Vinicius Borges (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
53rd • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Schneider (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Navarro (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Saulo Marx Paiva (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matheus Nunes Lino da Silva (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Renan Albino da Cunha (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
39th • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Caio Bal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Raphael Barrese (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Maurício Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Vítor Farhat Fernandes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Benzi Nucci (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Murilo Lixandrao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs RODOLPHO ETINGER (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Guilherme Brito silva (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Laerte Cursino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs WEVERSON OLIVEIRA (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joao Gabriel Jagersbacher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Filipe L. Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Feliz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rodrigo Canejo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Felipe Rita (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raphael Gaspar (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Pereira (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Danrley Lucas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pedro Augusto Mendes de Negreiros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bruno Damo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs LUCAS Dias (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Caio Mafra (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joao Morato (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vítor Silva (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matheus Siqueira Fernandes (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 60% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matheus Nunes Lino da Silva (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ricardo Albuquerque (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.