Fang, Dracai of Blades at National Championship 2026

Fang, Dracai of Blades

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Vitor Castro

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs João Borges (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bruno Cebollada (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Caio Bal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Matheus Nunes Lino da Silva (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.64
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Lucas Pereira

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Guilherme Brito silva (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mario Cioffi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Luiz Bussolli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs igor pinheiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.13
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Hugo Maximo

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Arthur Murta (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Danrley Lucas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Marcel Moscatelli (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.48
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Mauricio Yoshioka

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs LUCAS DE CASTRO (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maurício Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.