Vynnset, Iron Maiden
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 6-1-0
43%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
5.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcel Moscatelli (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Schneider (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs Raniere Aguiar (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raphael Gaspar (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lucas Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 82:18
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs João Rolim (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Round 10: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
11th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Queiroz (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Darcy Camargo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Amorim (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lucas Aquino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs XANDRE BORGES (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pedro Ugioni (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 82:18
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
20th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maurício Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs Josh Oliveira (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Freitas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs XANDRE BORGES (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 8: Win vs Filipe L. Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rafael De Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Heitor Martins (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
22nd • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Pereira (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Heitor Martins (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Maurício Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Raphael Marinho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafael de Oliveira Julio (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.