National Championship 2026 - Brazil - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Rafael De Melo

5th • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ricardo Preter Lengler (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thales Paiva (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Roosevelt Villela (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mario Cioffi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs XANDRE BORGES (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

20:80

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.81	0.30
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.30
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.34
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.00
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Pedro Lecey Opitz

41st • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs LUCAS DE CASTRO (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs VITOR MILIONI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Renan Albino da Cunha (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Filipe L. Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Roosevelt Villela (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.51
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.93
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

André Rafael Chagas Godoy

50th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bruno Cebollada (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pedro Ugioni (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Heitor Martins (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Felipe Ciola Marino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Raphael Gaspar (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Thomaz Sardinha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.10
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.43

Thomaz Sardinha

52nd • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gustavo Pedrinha (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kaina Gimenez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs RODOLPHO ETINGER (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Amorim (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.81	1.36
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Carvalho

54th • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Raphael Barrese (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Diorge Brognara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matheus Alcantara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Santos (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Josh Oliveira (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

20:80

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Caio Bal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Pedro Henrique Antonio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Rafael Miller

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs João Gabriel Neves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Luiz Bussolli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Freitas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.13
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.30
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.54
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Lucas Benzi Nucci

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Enzo Bigodeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yuki Shimura (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Vítor Farhat Fernandes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.33
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.57
R8	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Ricardo Albuquerque

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Átila Lima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Diorge Brognara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Evandro Campos (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Igor Cunha

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kaina Gimenez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Felipe Rita (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.