Arakni, Huntsman at National Championship 2026

Arakni, Huntsman

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Raphael Gaspar

37th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maurício Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs igor pinheiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Roosevelt Villela (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Caio Bal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.24
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.32
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.80
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.26

Pedro Henrique Antonio

51st • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Navarro (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

90:10

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rafael de Oliveira Julio (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 90:10

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joao Morato (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kaina Gimenez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

90:10

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Vinicius Borges (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 89:11, favorite upset

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.04
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.68
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	90%	Loss	✓	0.89	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.89

Lucas Navarro

dropped • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pedro Henrique Antonio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thiago Lomba (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcel Moscatelli (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Laerte Cursino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.38
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.