National Championship 2026 - Brazil - Arakni, Huntsman (CC)

Arakni, Huntsman

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Raphael Gaspar

37th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maurício Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs igor pinheiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Roosevelt Villela (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Caio Bal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.75
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.26

Pedro Henrique Antonio

51st • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Navarro (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

90:10

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rafael de Oliveira Julio (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 89:11

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joao Morato (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kaina Gimenez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53

90:10

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Vinicius Borges (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 89:11, favorite upset

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.05
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.68
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	90%	Loss	✓	0.89	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.84

Lucas Navarro

dropped • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pedro Henrique Antonio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thiago Lomba (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcel Moscatelli (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Laerte Cursino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.40
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.41
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.