Arakni, Marionette
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 6-3-0
11%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ricardo Albuquerque (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vítor Farhat Fernandes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Danrley Lucas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Heitor Martins (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Leonardo Tozato (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Round 11: Win vs Raphael Barrese (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
11% (1/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
13th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phelipe da Hora (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raniere Aguiar (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kaina Gimenez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs João Gabriel Neves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Luiz Bussolli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rafael Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs RODOLPHO ETINGER (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
12th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raphael Gaspar (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mauricio Yoshioka (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bruno Marconato (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lucas Freitas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Átila Lima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Luiz Bussolli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joao Morato (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vinicius Borges (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pedro Gradella (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs LUCAS Dias (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs RODOLPHO ETINGER (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leonardo Tozato (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henrique De Almeida Carvalho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rodrigo Canejo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.