Prism, Awakener of Sol
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Freitas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Amorim (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Raphael Marinho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Heitor Martins (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ricardo Preter Lengler (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Round 11: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
44th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mauricio Yoshioka (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs João Rolim (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 72:28
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 18:82
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Renan Albino da Cunha (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 86:14
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs victor giovannini (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
23rd • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs LUCAS DE CASTRO (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Matheus Nunes Lino da Silva (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gustavo Pedrinha (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bruno Santos (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Leonardo Tozato (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs VITOR MILIONI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 85% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henrique De Almeida Carvalho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 72:28
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hugo Maximo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
Round 4: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.